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Red152
282361.1
569087.0
702839.9
Blue285
266778.3
419871.5
485980.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19025004006008001,0001,200152285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
red by 6.5
4859
Unranked
80.40.0
80.480.4
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
Second
2823
Unranked
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto11.9
Teleop30.2
End19.0
blue by 17.2
2667
Unranked
78.30.0
78.378.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End36.1
Third
7028
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 31.6
4198
Unranked
71.50.0
71.571.5
Auto4.2
Teleop42.9
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds