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Red250
427776.6
247275.6
318479.6
Blue255
251295.5
302669.1
217584.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24126505001,0001,5002,0002,500250255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
Unranked
79.60.0
79.679.6
Auto6.9
Teleop39.6
End33.1
blue by 16.0
2512
Unranked
95.50.0
95.595.5
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
Second
4277
Unranked
76.60.0
76.676.6
Auto8.4
Teleop27.4
End40.7
blue by 7.9
2175
Unranked
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7
Third
2472
Unranked
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto8.3
Teleop35.1
End32.2
red by 6.5
3026
Unranked
69.10.0
69.169.1
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds