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Red140
222042.9
212941.2
217584.5
Blue325
4536101.3
251295.5
419871.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15830104006008001,0001,200140325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
Unranked
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7
blue by 16.8
4536
Unranked
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
Second
2220
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto3.9
Teleop28.8
End10.2
blue by 52.6
2512
Unranked
95.50.0
95.595.5
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
Third
2129
Unranked
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto2.9
Teleop25.6
End12.7
blue by 30.3
4198
Unranked
71.50.0
71.571.5
Auto4.2
Teleop42.9
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds21%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds