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Red160
363092.9
253166.8
217584.5
Blue285
466384.6
569087.0
331359.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602400100200300400500600160285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
Unranked
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto4.8
Teleop49.4
End38.6
red by 5.9
5690
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Second
2175
Unranked
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7
blue by 0.2
4663
Unranked
84.60.0
84.684.6
Auto7.8
Teleop31.5
End45.4
Third
2531
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End26.1
red by 7.6
3313
Unranked
59.20.0
59.259.2
Auto7.4
Teleop23.6
End28.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds