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Red235
388364.3
423961.6
363365.8
Blue285
251295.5
216997.7
466384.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18530904006008001,000235285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
Unranked
65.80.0
65.865.8
Auto7.6
Teleop34.2
End24.0
blue by 31.9
2169
Unranked
97.70.0
97.797.7
Auto8.5
Teleop45.9
End43.2
Second
3883
Unranked
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto7.2
Teleop28.9
End28.2
blue by 31.2
2512
Unranked
95.50.0
95.595.5
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
Third
4239
Unranked
61.60.0
61.661.6
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6
blue by 23.0
4663
Unranked
84.60.0
84.684.6
Auto7.8
Teleop31.5
End45.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds17%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds