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Red305
324493.4
485980.4
284693.0
Blue319
517293.4
250086.6
4536101.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291286200250300350305319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#20
93.40.9
92.893.7
Auto11.5
Teleop46.8
End35.1
blue by 7.8
4536
#12
101.31.0
99.2100.2
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
Second
93.00.9
92.493.2
Auto11.8
Teleop42.3
End38.9
blue by 0.4
5172
#16
93.41.0
91.492.3
Auto12.1
Teleop48.8
End32.6
Third
4859
#28
80.40.9
79.880.7
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
blue by 6.2
86.61.0
84.685.6
Auto9.8
Teleop40.1
End36.7