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Red216
282361.1
302669.1
485980.4
Blue235
448057.6
250086.6
4536101.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264255150200300350216235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
#28
80.43.5
93.089.5
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
blue by 20.8
4536
#12
101.31.0
98.397.3
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
Second
69.13.5
73.469.9
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End22.2
blue by 17.5
86.61.0
80.079.1
Auto9.8
Teleop40.1
End36.7
Third
2823
#33
61.13.5
77.173.6
Auto11.9
Teleop30.2
End19.0
red by 3.5
4480
#30
57.61.0
71.470.4
Auto4.2
Teleop35.2
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed