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Red160
253230.0
340750.8
284693.0
Blue115
285544.9
388364.3
217584.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19323204006008001,0001,2001,400160115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.03.6
91.988.4
Auto11.8
Teleop42.3
End38.9
red by 8.5
2175
#13
84.57.4
71.664.2
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7
Second
3407
#26
50.84.7
66.061.3
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End17.7
blue by 13.5
3883
#19
64.37.4
82.374.9
Auto7.2
Teleop28.9
End28.2
Third
2532
#18
30.03.6
30.426.9
Auto3.5
Teleop25.5
End1.0
blue by 14.9
2855
#35
44.97.4
62.054.6
Auto3.7
Teleop27.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed