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Red165
298773.5
340750.8
302669.1
Blue122
392636.7
282361.1
257495.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20623504006008001,000165122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.52.3
71.269.0
Auto5.5
Teleop29.5
End38.5
blue by 22.4
2574
#21
95.98.2
98.990.7
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End39.4
Second
69.12.3
77.775.5
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End22.2
red by 8.0
2823
#33
61.18.2
67.859.6
Auto11.9
Teleop30.2
End19.0
Third
3407
#26
50.82.3
50.247.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End17.7
red by 14.1
3926
#31
36.78.2
53.245.0
Auto1.4
Teleop31.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed