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Red494
5801100.9
198791.8
62496.5
Blue235
171090.3
495990.1
93593.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298295250350400450494235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#31
100.92.6
98.4100.9
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End44.4
red by 7.6
935
#14
93.31.7
95.093.3
Auto9.0
Teleop33.9
End50.5
Second
624
#11
96.51.9
94.596.5
Auto15.5
Teleop49.4
End31.5
red by 6.1
1710
#21
90.32.2
92.690.3
Auto7.9
Teleop45.8
End36.7
Third
91.82.6
89.291.8
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End30.9
red by 1.7
4959
#10
90.12.2
92.390.1
Auto11.3
Teleop42.1
End36.7