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Red256
5801100.9
198791.8
62496.5
Blue235
317264.2
176987.6
182579.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309232100200400500256235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#31
100.90.8
98.497.6
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End44.4
red by 13.3
87.60.1
87.587.6
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End40.0
Second
624
#11
96.50.6
94.694.0
Auto15.5
Teleop49.4
End31.5
red by 16.9
1825
#35
79.60.1
79.579.6
Auto6.6
Teleop39.6
End33.4
Third
91.80.8
89.288.5
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End30.9
red by 27.6
64.20.1
64.164.2
Auto5.1
Teleop32.4
End26.7