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Red195
317264.2
511988.6
93846.7
Blue169
198466.3
173765.3
501375.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721560100200300400195169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#15
88.63.8
57.961.6
Auto7.9
Teleop35.0
End45.6
red by 13.4
5013
#32
75.22.0
64.166.1
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End30.4
Second
64.23.8
50.254.0
Auto5.1
Teleop32.4
End26.7
blue by 2.2
1984
#18
66.32.0
45.847.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End23.1
Third
938
#49
46.72.8
52.955.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End6.7
blue by 18.6
1737
#25
65.32.0
40.842.8
Auto10.1
Teleop30.7
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed