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Red195
198262.2
199445.2
501375.2
Blue203
518935.3
177590.6
235749.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165162100150200250195203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#32
75.24.3
75.079.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End30.4
blue by 15.4
1775
#17
90.63.3
79.482.7
Auto9.2
Teleop38.5
End42.9
Second
1982
#44
62.24.3
42.346.5
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End23.6
red by 12.7
2357
#39
49.45.4
38.243.7
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End17.7
Third
1994
#46
45.24.3
39.443.6
Auto5.9
Teleop24.7
End14.6
red by 9.9
5189
#53
35.35.4
36.441.8
Auto5.9
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed