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Red215
198262.2
317264.2
216498.1
Blue191
526865.6
512671.0
171090.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141960100300400500600215191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.11.1
85.984.8
Auto8.5
Teleop50.2
End39.4
red by 7.7
1710
#21
90.30.3
81.481.7
Auto7.9
Teleop45.8
End36.7
Second
64.21.8
68.666.8
Auto5.1
Teleop32.4
End26.7
blue by 6.8
5126
#37
71.00.3
52.452.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.3
End36.5
Third
1982
#44
62.21.8
46.544.8
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End23.6
blue by 3.4
5268
#48
65.60.3
54.654.9
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed