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Red220
642443.4
1730111.5
235749.4
Blue196
5801100.9
287438.0
317264.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20720204006008001,0001,2001,400220196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.52.1
107.5109.5
Auto16.5
Teleop47.5
End47.5
red by 10.6
5801
#31
100.90.3
95.295.6
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End44.4
Second
2357
#39
49.42.1
43.445.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End17.7
blue by 14.8
64.20.3
66.867.1
Auto5.1
Teleop32.4
End26.7
Third
6424
#27
43.42.1
45.547.6
Auto4.4
Teleop24.1
End14.9
red by 5.4
2874
#58
38.00.3
31.031.3
Auto1.8
Teleop21.9
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed