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Red265
526865.6
509875.6
180256.7
Blue215
508254.6
452283.7
172381.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1672390100200300400265215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#26
75.69.3
66.475.6
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End37.7
blue by 8.0
4522
#22
83.70.2
83.883.7
Auto6.1
Teleop28.2
End49.3
Second
5268
#48
65.69.3
54.864.1
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End26.4
blue by 15.9
1723
#40
81.40.2
78.878.5
Auto8.8
Teleop39.6
End33.0
Third
1802
#54
56.79.3
47.456.7
Auto8.0
Teleop24.0
End24.8
red by 2.1
5082
#57
54.60.2
54.954.6
Auto9.8
Teleop25.3
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed