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Red194
176368.4
1986119.3
234648.9
Blue280
241076.0
1730111.5
173765.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622710100200300400500600194280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.35.4
121.7116.4
Auto26.9
Teleop43.6
End48.8
red by 7.8
111.50.1
113.1113.0
Auto16.5
Teleop47.5
End47.5
Second
1763
#19
68.45.4
73.868.4
Auto7.7
Teleop33.5
End27.3
blue by 7.5
2410
#12
76.00.1
77.677.5
Auto8.4
Teleop42.8
End24.9
Third
2346
#43
48.95.4
54.348.9
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End17.8
blue by 16.4
1737
#25
65.30.1
65.465.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.7
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed