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Red263
3528118.3
198466.3
110863.0
Blue255
182579.6
654289.0
176987.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247268100150200300350400450263255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.32.5
112.9115.4
Auto18.3
Teleop48.8
End51.2
red by 29.3
6542
#16
89.00.3
87.387.6
Auto10.4
Teleop33.6
End45.1
Second
1984
#18
66.32.5
63.966.3
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End23.1
blue by 21.2
87.60.3
86.486.7
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End40.0
Third
1108
#20
63.02.5
60.563.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.7
End28.0
blue by 16.6
1825
#35
79.60.3
78.478.7
Auto6.6
Teleop39.6
End33.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed