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Red221
424682.7
435678.9
3468.1
Blue90
167538.4
109459.3
339727.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143178010030040050060070022190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.76.2
44.650.7
Auto11.9
Teleop34.4
End36.4
red by 23.5
1094
#38
59.38.8
56.047.3
Auto7.4
Teleop33.7
End18.2
Second
4356
#23
78.96.2
48.955.1
Auto7.3
Teleop24.5
End47.1
red by 40.6
1675
#34
38.48.8
62.053.3
Auto11.4
Teleop32.7
End-5.8
Third
34
#21
68.16.2
47.153.3
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End24.1
red by 40.6
3397
#51
27.58.8
45.937.2
Auto2.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed