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Red280
460060.4
514771.7
379238.4
Blue257
144480.3
53770.5
270739.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139167050100200250300350280257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5147
#24
71.710.5
55.065.4
Auto6.9
Teleop37.7
End27.1
blue by 8.6
80.310.8
72.483.2
Auto8.9
Teleop40.0
End31.4
Second
4600
#40
60.410.5
38.749.2
Auto5.0
Teleop43.1
End12.3
blue by 10.1
537
#36
70.510.8
49.059.7
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End34.2
Third
3792
#32
38.410.5
42.252.6
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End10.2
blue by 0.8
2707
#52
39.210.8
33.744.5
Auto9.7
Teleop27.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsEarned