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Red305
198586.8
120871.4
125981.9
Blue217
603446.9
117877.8
395971.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2051740100300400305217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#19
86.812.8
56.669.4
Auto6.7
Teleop36.6
End43.6
red by 9.0
1178
#30DQ
77.82.5
66.068.5
Auto13.7
Teleop32.5
End31.6
Second
81.912.8
60.373.0
Auto12.6
Teleop42.2
End27.1
red by 10.9
3959
#15
71.02.5
65.067.5
Auto5.7
Teleop28.8
End36.5
Third
1208
#35
71.412.8
73.286.0
Auto8.0
Teleop37.4
End26.1
red by 24.5
6034
#44
46.92.5
38.541.0
Auto1.4
Teleop21.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed