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Red232
333057.4
639139.9
170691.7
Blue195
603446.9
165873.1
132960.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192184120140160200220240260280232195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.75.2
76.481.7
Auto13.4
Teleop35.2
End43.1
red by 18.5
73.11.9
76.978.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End33.9
Second
3330
#12
57.45.2
58.463.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.0
End22.7
blue by 2.6
1329
#27
60.01.9
58.460.4
Auto5.6
Teleop25.8
End28.7
Third
6391
#45
39.95.2
46.852.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End-2.3
blue by 7.0
6034
#44
46.91.9
41.043.0
Auto1.4
Teleop21.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed