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Red205
514771.7
270739.2
450067.9
Blue215
493151.6
575848.7
109459.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841440100300400205215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5147
#24
71.73.1
69.372.4
Auto6.9
Teleop37.7
End27.1
red by 12.5
1094
#38
59.36.5
55.562.0
Auto7.4
Teleop33.7
End18.2
Second
4500
#29
67.93.1
64.667.7
Auto10.1
Teleop34.3
End23.5
red by 16.4
4931
#17
51.67.0
44.651.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End23.3
Third
2707
#52
39.23.4
35.839.2
Auto9.7
Teleop27.5
End2.0
blue by 9.5
5758
#41
48.76.5
42.348.7
Auto8.8
Teleop22.2
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed