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Red200
297851.5
193975.7
674451.0
Blue140
379238.4
440461.1
603446.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801520100200300400200140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#11
75.72.9
70.873.7
Auto12.1
Teleop35.6
End28.0
red by 14.7
4404
#16
61.10.8
61.861.1
Auto8.0
Teleop29.3
End23.8
Second
2978
#28
51.52.9
48.651.5
Auto2.3
Teleop32.3
End16.9
red by 4.6
6034
#44
46.90.8
47.746.9
Auto1.4
Teleop21.1
End24.4
Third
6744
#42
51.03.2
47.951.0
Auto3.9
Teleop32.3
End14.9
red by 12.6
3792
#32
38.40.8
39.238.4
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed