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Red207
117877.8
170691.7
167538.4
Blue145
460060.4
666035.5
558353.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281480100200300400207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.1
87.087.1
Auto13.4
Teleop35.2
End43.1
red by 31.2
4600
#40
60.40.6
61.060.4
Auto5.0
Teleop43.1
End12.3
Second
1178
#30DQ
77.80.1
80.480.5
Auto13.7
Teleop32.5
End31.6
red by 24.0
5583
#43
53.80.5
54.353.8
Auto2.6
Teleop26.5
End24.7
Third
1675
#34
38.40.1
38.238.4
Auto11.4
Teleop32.7
End-5.8
red by 2.8
6660
#48
35.50.6
36.235.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed