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Red263
53770.5
1732111.4
170691.7
Blue251
432974.5
125981.9
198586.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292245100200400500263251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.40.7
110.2109.5
Auto14.8
Teleop55.8
End40.8
red by 24.6
1985
#19
86.80.3
85.385.7
Auto6.7
Teleop36.6
End43.6
Second
91.70.7
90.589.7
Auto13.4
Teleop35.2
End43.1
red by 9.8
81.90.3
80.480.7
Auto12.6
Teleop42.2
End27.1
Third
537
#36
70.50.7
69.368.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End34.2
blue by 4.0
4329
#18
74.50.3
73.073.4
Auto4.3
Teleop47.2
End23.0