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Red281
3468.1
193975.7
128873.9
Blue255
414395.1
328492.0
514771.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2262860100200400500281255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#11
75.70.9
78.279.1
Auto12.1
Teleop35.6
End28.0
blue by 19.4
95.10.2
96.496.2
Auto7.5
Teleop47.7
End39.9
Second
1288
#25
73.90.9
76.477.3
Auto6.6
Teleop42.2
End25.2
blue by 18.0
92.00.2
93.393.1
Auto14.3
Teleop42.0
End35.7
Third
34
#21
68.10.9
68.269.1
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End24.1
blue by 3.6
5147
#24
71.70.2
73.172.9
Auto6.9
Teleop37.7
End27.1