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Red166
11101.5
5401110.9
19383.4
Blue395
10391.0
834110.7
34198.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370338200250300400450500550166395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.93.2
113.8110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop53.8
End40.8
red by 0.2
834
#6
110.70.0
109.2109.2
Auto8.5
Teleop52.9
End49.3
Second
11
#15
101.53.2
104.7101.5
Auto7.8
Teleop52.6
End41.1
red by 2.8
341
#35
98.70.0
97.397.3
Auto12.6
Teleop49.1
End36.9
Third
193
#19
83.43.2
86.383.1
Auto7.0
Teleop43.7
End32.8
blue by 7.6
103
#27
91.00.0
89.689.6
Auto16.6
Teleop47.9
End26.5