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Red343
127992.7
365123.6
314293.5
Blue284
2607105.4
22383.1
219110.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318324280300340360380343284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#11
123.62.7
121.0123.7
Auto18.0
Teleop54.2
End51.4
red by 13.2
219
#39
110.41.6
110.7109.2
Auto13.9
Teleop49.2
End47.4
Second
3142
#49
93.52.7
85.688.3
Auto8.3
Teleop38.6
End46.6
blue by 12.0
2607
#10
105.41.6
100.098.5
Auto10.9
Teleop51.8
End42.8
Third
1279
#28
92.72.7
96.399.0
Auto9.2
Teleop46.9
End36.6
red by 9.6
223
#46
83.11.6
96.695.1
Auto11.0
Teleop45.9
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned13%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed