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Red351
314293.5
5401110.9
834110.7
Blue298
31698.9
171288.3
1391111.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323120100200400500600700351298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.92.5
117.1119.6
Auto16.3
Teleop53.8
End40.8
blue by 0.7
1391
#40
111.60.1
107.7107.6
Auto13.4
Teleop51.0
End47.2
Second
834
#6
110.72.5
107.9110.4
Auto8.5
Teleop52.9
End49.3
red by 11.8
316
#43
98.90.1
98.298.1
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
Third
3142
#49
93.52.5
88.390.8
Auto8.3
Teleop38.6
End46.6
red by 5.2
1712
#33
88.30.1
93.693.5
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsEarned11%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed