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Red314
272995.8
260093.1
365123.6
Blue346
56107.7
25102.6
1676111.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333327250300350400450314346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#11
123.60.1
123.7123.6
Auto18.0
Teleop54.2
End51.4
red by 12.1
111.42.3
107.5109.8
Auto14.8
Teleop54.9
End41.8
Second
2729
#23
95.80.1
97.597.4
Auto11.5
Teleop46.4
End37.8
blue by 11.9
56
#29
107.72.3
104.5106.8
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End46.7
Third
2600
#24
93.10.1
94.494.3
Auto5.8
Teleop43.6
End43.7
blue by 9.5
25
#37
102.62.3
99.5101.8
Auto14.8
Teleop46.8
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
32%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed