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Red283
272104.3
540786.9
149578.2
Blue321
11101.5
834110.7
56107.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893270100200400500600283321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#16
104.30.2
98.598.7
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End46.9
blue by 6.4
834
#6
110.71.0
105.5106.5
Auto8.5
Teleop52.9
End49.3
Second
5407
#53
86.90.2
94.694.9
Auto9.3
Teleop40.9
End36.7
blue by 20.8
56
#29
107.71.0
100.7101.8
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End46.7
Third
1495
#48
78.20.2
86.386.6
Auto5.1
Teleop33.7
End39.4
blue by 23.3
11
#15
101.51.0
99.3100.4
Auto7.8
Teleop52.6
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed