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Red277
43390.0
225110.6
127992.7
Blue325
3929108.5
260093.1
10292.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182780100200400500600277325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#14
110.61.4
105.8104.5
Auto22.1
Teleop54.8
End33.6
red by 2.1
3929
#32
108.53.7
99.0102.6
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End49.2
Second
1279
#28
92.71.4
97.295.9
Auto9.2
Teleop46.9
End36.6
blue by 0.4
2600
#24
93.13.7
83.487.1
Auto5.8
Teleop43.6
End43.7
Third
433
#54
90.01.4
94.392.9
Auto9.5
Teleop39.9
End40.6
blue by 2.4
102
#17
92.33.7
87.691.3
Auto8.9
Teleop52.4
End31.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed