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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933050200400600800340353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#40
111.64.0
103.8107.8
Auto13.4
Teleop51.0
End47.2
red by 1.0
225
#14
110.64.0
104.5108.4
Auto22.1
Teleop54.8
End33.6
Second
555
#57
98.54.0
96.2100.2
Auto8.8
Teleop43.3
End46.4
blue by 0.6
4285
#41
99.14.0
94.698.6
Auto12.7
Teleop38.5
End47.8
Third
4575
#45
84.14.0
80.284.2
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
blue by 4.3
1712
#33
88.34.0
89.493.4
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsEarned