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Red235
121869.2
253992.8
75108.6
Blue381
3929108.5
25102.6
203105.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993170100200400500600700235381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#31
108.63.4
111.2107.7
Auto10.2
Teleop47.6
End50.9
red by 0.1
3929
#32
108.53.1
102.6105.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End49.2
Second
2539
#20
92.83.4
86.282.8
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End43.6
blue by 12.6
203
#7
105.43.1
107.5110.6
Auto12.9
Teleop51.8
End40.8
Third
1218
#58
69.23.4
89.385.8
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
blue by 33.4
25
#37
102.63.1
88.992.0
Auto14.8
Teleop46.8
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed