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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339321150200250300400450297177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
117.21.5
132.6131.1
Auto15.2
Teleop50.9
End51.1
red by 17.9
5895
#21
99.28.7
106.697.9
Auto17.5
Teleop42.9
End38.8
Second
105.71.5
95.694.1
Auto11.0
Teleop45.1
End49.6
red by 14.3
4342
#55
91.58.7
105.596.8
Auto13.3
Teleop38.3
End39.9
Third
223
#46
83.11.5
91.790.2
Auto11.0
Teleop45.9
End26.3
blue by 8.0
3314
#44
91.28.7
95.486.7
Auto17.4
Teleop46.3
End27.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed