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Red281
11101.5
253992.8
260093.1
Blue311
589599.2
10292.3
365123.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312311250300350400281311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#15
101.50.2
107.9107.7
Auto7.8
Teleop52.6
End41.1
blue by 22.1
365
#11
123.60.2
119.1119.3
Auto18.0
Teleop54.2
End51.4
Second
2600
#24
93.10.2
93.293.0
Auto5.8
Teleop43.6
End43.7
blue by 6.1
5895
#21
99.20.2
97.998.1
Auto17.5
Teleop42.9
End38.8
Third
2539
#20
92.80.2
82.882.6
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End43.6
red by 0.5
102
#17
92.30.2
91.291.4
Auto8.9
Teleop52.4
End31.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned6%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed