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Red259
121869.2
331491.2
56107.7
Blue335
542083.6
10292.3
2607105.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29026705001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500259335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#29
107.70.9
108.0107.1
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End46.7
red by 2.3
2607
#10
105.44.5
92.997.4
Auto10.9
Teleop51.8
End42.8
Second
3314
#44
91.20.9
82.581.6
Auto17.4
Teleop46.3
End27.5
blue by 1.1
102
#17
92.34.5
91.496.0
Auto8.9
Teleop52.4
End31.1
Third
1218
#58
69.20.9
82.081.1
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
blue by 14.3
5420
#26
83.64.5
72.777.2
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed15%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed