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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932790100200400500330266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#14
110.63.6
111.2114.8
Auto22.1
Teleop54.8
End33.6
red by 17.8
2539
#20
92.80.1
86.586.4
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End43.6
Second
1640
#34
98.23.6
86.690.2
Auto8.4
Teleop50.1
End39.7
red by 7.2
103
#27
91.00.1
96.095.9
Auto16.6
Teleop47.9
End26.5
Third
6226
#60
74.73.6
78.682.2
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3
blue by 12.6
1370
#50
87.30.1
84.784.7
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End51.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
7%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed