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Red205
518180.2
622674.7
3929108.5
Blue361
1257111.5
5401110.9
10292.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269339100200300400500205361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#32
108.54.0
104.0100.0
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End49.2
blue by 3.0
1257
#22
111.52.8
103.5106.3
Auto10.3
Teleop52.9
End48.2
Second
5181
#38
80.24.0
79.075.0
Auto13.2
Teleop40.7
End26.3
blue by 30.7
110.92.8
114.3117.1
Auto16.3
Teleop53.8
End40.8
Third
6226
#60
74.74.0
82.278.1
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3
blue by 17.6
102
#17
92.32.8
95.598.4
Auto8.9
Teleop52.4
End31.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed