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Red331
272995.8
225110.6
48685.7
Blue295
363796.1
11101.5
245894.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317322250300350400331295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#14
110.61.9
114.8116.7
Auto22.1
Teleop54.8
End33.6
red by 9.1
11
#15
101.50.7
106.4105.7
Auto7.8
Teleop52.6
End41.1
Second
2729
#23
95.81.9
95.597.5
Auto11.5
Teleop46.4
End37.8
blue by 0.3
3637
#52
96.10.7
101.0100.3
Auto8.5
Teleop45.9
End41.8
Third
486
#36
85.71.9
91.593.5
Auto11.9
Teleop47.9
End25.9
blue by 8.8
2458
#51
94.50.7
97.997.2
Auto9.5
Teleop38.9
End46.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned7%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
8%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed