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Red364
222117.8
303117.2
225110.6
Blue476
365123.6
4750111.7
272104.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41238902006008001,0001,200364476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#9
117.80.2
118.7118.5
Auto15.5
Teleop54.1
End48.2
blue by 5.8
365
#11
123.60.2
125.1125.2
Auto18.0
Teleop54.2
End51.4
Second
303
#1
117.20.2
118.1117.9
Auto15.2
Teleop50.9
End51.1
red by 5.5
111.70.2
113.2113.3
Auto11.1
Teleop47.7
End52.9
Third
225
#14
110.60.2
111.5111.3
Auto22.1
Teleop54.8
End33.6
red by 6.3
272
#16
104.30.2
105.8105.9
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End46.9