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Red466
3929108.5
1807105.7
2590111.0
Blue356
19383.4
5401110.9
2607105.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366365300350400450466356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
111.01.2
106.8107.9
Auto14.2
Teleop64.7
End32.1
red by 0.1
110.91.1
112.7111.6
Auto16.3
Teleop53.8
End40.8
Second
3929
#32
108.51.2
104.2105.4
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End49.2
red by 3.0
2607
#10
105.41.1
107.3106.2
Auto10.9
Teleop51.8
End42.8
Third
105.71.2
101.5102.7
Auto11.0
Teleop45.1
End49.6
red by 22.3
193
#19
83.41.1
85.284.2
Auto7.0
Teleop43.7
End32.8