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Red292
333762.5
399180.5
3039105.8
Blue290
408763.2
456109.0
191274.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264260100150200300350400292290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
blue by 3.2
456
#2
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto12.9
Teleop43.0
End53.0
Second
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
red by 6.0
1912
#10
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9
Third
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
blue by 0.7
63.20.0
63.263.2
Auto5.4
Teleop34.1
End23.8