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Red215
456109.0
208081.7
2992102.5
Blue185
595362.3
36479.5
333762.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32619804006008001,0001,2001,400215185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#2
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto12.9
Teleop43.0
End53.0
red by 29.5
364
#4
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
Second
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
red by 40.0
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
Third
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
red by 19.5
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto7.9
Teleop31.1
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds