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Red305
399180.5
36479.5
208081.7
Blue215
333762.5
433657.8
142183.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26220704006008001,0001,2001,4001,600305215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
blue by 1.9
1421
#11
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.4
End45.5
Second
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
red by 18.0
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
Third
364
#4
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
red by 21.7
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds