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Red205
399180.5
333762.5
36479.5
Blue199
3039105.8
595362.3
191274.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23025905001,0001,5002,000205199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
blue by 25.3
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
364
#4
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
red by 4.9
1912
#10
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9
Third
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
red by 0.2
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto7.9
Teleop31.1
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds