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Red300
595362.3
3039105.8
433657.8
Blue285
142183.6
2992102.5
333762.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23326604006008001,0001,2001,400300285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
red by 3.3
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
Second
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto7.9
Teleop31.1
End23.3
blue by 21.4
1421
#11
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.4
End45.5
Third
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
blue by 4.7
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds