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Red255
208081.7
333762.5
399180.5
Blue264
408763.2
2992102.5
3039105.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22729504006008001,0001,2001,4001,600255264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
blue by 24.1
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
blue by 22.0
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
Third
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
blue by 0.7
63.20.0
63.263.2
Auto5.4
Teleop34.1
End23.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds