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Red258
36479.5
408763.2
3039105.8
Blue145
208081.7
433657.8
595362.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27120304006008001,0001,200258145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
red by 24.1
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
Second
364
#4
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
red by 17.2
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto7.9
Teleop31.1
End23.3
Third
63.20.0
63.263.2
Auto5.4
Teleop34.1
End23.8
red by 5.5
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds